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0190-22314 Industrial Parts – Supply
0190-22314 Industrial Parts – Supply
According to the quarterly research report on global solar cell production capacity database and trends published by DisplaySearch in the third quarter of 2009, the global solar cell production capacity will grow by 56% compared to last year to reach 17GW (17 billion watts). In 2005, the global production capacity was only 2.3GW (2.3 billion watts), but with active investment from manufacturers around the world to expand production, it is expected to grow to 42GW (42 billion watts) by 2013. The following figure shows the global solar cell production capacity forecast by technology category.
Although global demand for solar cell modules declined by 17% in 2009 due to changes in the global economy and the reduction of government subsidy policies, many solar cell equipment has been ordered by manufacturers and installed according to schedules, and many manufacturers are still actively expanding, global solar cell production capacity will still grow by 56% in 2009 Charles Annis, who is responsible for market and technology research in the solar energy industry at DisplaySearch, said.
Annis further pointed out that: Due to the inconsistency between demand and production capacity, the solar cell industry is currently experiencing a storm of oversupply, which has led to a rapid decline in module prices and may have a harmful impact on many solar cell manufacturers, especially thin film technology manufacturers. We expect the solar cell industry to continue to experience a crisis of overcapacity next year. After the industry restructuring, in 2011, with the recovery of demand, production The industry will have better prospects
The latest global solar cell production capacity database and trend quarterly research report released by DisplaySearch in the third quarter of 2009, with other key excerpts as follows:
˙ As of 2006, Japan has the largest capacity in the world, but manufacturers in Chinese Mainland have actively invested in the expansion of new factory capacity since 2005, and became the world’s largest producer of solar cells in 2007, and is expected to account for one third of the global solar cell capacity in 2009.
˙ In 2009, the production capacity of Thin Film solar cells reached 358GW (3.58 billion watts), with 30% using 600mm × 1200mm substrate size; This size is also the standard substrate size for cadmium antimonide (CdTe) solar cells and is currently used by manufacturers such as First Solar. Commonly referred to as the 5th generation 1000 × 1200mm to 1100 × The production capacity of 1400mm glass substrate ranks second among thin film solar cells, accounting for 18% of all thin films.
˙ From January 2008 to July 2009, a total of 11.4GW (11.4 billion watts) of new solar cell production capacity was added globally, which is the main reason for the significant growth of production capacity by 56% in 2009 despite poor demand.
˙ In 2005, 95% of the global solar cell production capacity belonged to crystalline systems and 5% belonged to thin film technology. Thin film technology is expected to reach 20% of the global total production capacity in 2009, and is expected to grow to 30% by 2013.
˙ Regarding the production capacity of amorphous silicon, the main four equipment suppliers in 2009 were AMAT, Oerlikon, ULVAC, and EPV; The production capacity supplied by these four equipment manufacturers has reached 946 MW (946 million watts), which is half of all amorphous silicon production capacity.
˙ According to the global solar cell production capacity in 2009, First Solar is the largest manufacturer, with a production capacity of 1 billion watts (1GW), and Q-Cells is tied with Suntech for second place. In the following years, the main equipment investment will also be driven by these leading manufacturers. DisplaySearch predicts that by 2013, the top three manufacturers, including First Solar, Q-Cells, and Suntech, as well as JA Solar, Motech, REC, SunPower, Yingli, Showa Shell Solar, and Sharp, will be the world’s top ten suppliers, with a total production capacity of 16GW (16 billion watts), accounting for 38% of global production capacity in 2013.
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